|
Many people in Big Tech appear to have lost their minds. If you haven’t already heard, Jacob Coxon, an Anthropic engineer, publicly announced his resignation on social media, claiming generative AI companies are acting irresponsibly in their quest for superintelligence. On this point, I and many others, even those in the tech industry, agree. To understand the details of why recklessness on the part of AI companies is the core issue, not some mythical superintelligence, I highly recommend reading Cal Newport’s recent newsletter. This kind of irresponsible behavior, in itself, shouldn’t too shocking. After all, Dario Amodei resigned from OpenAI himself in 2020 over similar concerns. He claimed he founded Anthropic, OpenAI’s top competitor in the U.S., in order to design AI systems with “safety and controllability in mind.” Words that should haunt him. Because it turns out Anthropic’s own head of Alignment Science, Evan Hubinger, the very man responsible for ensuring models act ethically rather than just optimizing training objectives, added this to Jacob’s resignation thread Samuel Marks, a third engineer at Anthropic, felt the need to pile on, adding: "AI developers believe their technology could cause human extinction (or similarly bad outcomes). This could happen in the next few years. In general, the more senior the employee, the more concerned they are." The idea that a large number of AI engineers and executives genuinely believe their product will destroy humanity within ten years has generated yet another round of media attention and hype (along with a lot of eye rolls from me). It’s not clear why, since as Melanie Mitchell, a professor at the Santa Fe Institute pointed out, these claims aren’t new either. What is new is that several big names in the industry, including some AI founders like Gary Marcus, are calling for a boycott of generative AI, even as he makes clear the doesn’t buy into the hyperbole of human extinction. As he says, But the risk of catastrophe is real, e.g., from AI-generated pathogens, from wars started or escalated by AI-generated disinformation, from hacks that destroy critical infrastructure, and so on.
Nothing I have seen gives any indication that any of that is under control.
Put differently, my p(doom) is low; my p(dystopia) is high.
And that is, for me, enough to be deeply worried, especially when coupled with a lack of a plan.
I’m glad to see this happen. I don’t want to brag here, but I called for people to quit generative AI tools like ChatGPT and Claude more than a year ago. As nice as it is to have some backup, those calling for a pause in research until the companies have a plan for better alignment are, in my opinion, missing the bigger picture. They are criticizing the approach these companies are taking rather than the technology itself. Ryan Calo, a law professor specializing in AI, theorizes why AI companies would sound the alarm on their own system in the first place (note that this is from 2023—ha!): [...] it requires far less sacrifice on their part to call attention to a hypothetical threat than to address the more immediate harms and costs that AI is already imposing on society. Today’s AI is plagued by error and replete with bias. It makes up facts and reproduces discriminatory heuristics. It empowers both government and consumer surveillance. AI is displacing labor and exacerbating income and wealth inequality. It poses an enormous and escalating threat to the environment, consuming an enormous and growing amount of energy and fueling a race to extract materials from a beleaguered Earth. This sounds bad, right? Like we shouldn’t be using it, much less scaling it, regardless of the nebulous threat of human extinction. It’s important to make the distinction here (as Cal Newport does) between large language models (LLM’s) and AI. Get rid of LLM’s and you still have a fully functional internet, movie recommendations on Netflix, and advances in predicting how proteins fold, among a host of other advances. I’m not suggesting we should stop all AI research/usage, just LLM’s and the awful data centers that power them. You might argue that I’m throwing the baby out with the bathwater, that LLM’s are useful. But utility alone is not enough of a reason to keep using a tool. You can see the ridiculousness of this argument by substituting a different “tool”: A thing is not useful for everyone or in general but mostly just for specific people in specific contexts. And useful never comes for free.
But let’s take a step back and use a different example: Child labor. Child labor is very “useful” if you want cheap labor. It’s 100% deplorable to use it or accept it. Child labor is a monstrosity. But if “useful” is enough, do we need to accept child labor?
Still on the fence? Here’s a series of questions you might ask yourself:
It’s all well and good to talk about alignment, to complain that AI models don’t (and technically can’t) share human values and morals. But if we aren’t willing to live those values and morals ourselves, maybe the problem isn’t just the tech executives or the training approaches they decide to use. Maybe it’s us. I urge you to embrace your power. Demand destruction—“a permanent or sustained decline in the demand for a certain good”—is a powerful tool that actually works. It sinks IPO’s and increases the chances of government regulation. It makes investment in data center buildouts less tenable. It puts pressure on business leaders to change policies and cancel contracts. The steps to demand destruction are easy. Delete your accounts with LLM’s like ChatGPT, Claude, and others. Add “-AI” to your internet searches. Tell your friends and co-workers you don’t want to see AI content in your chats and emails. Make sure your boss knows that even AI insiders are calling for a moratorium on generative AI tools, making its continued use a real risk. Remember… only YOU can prevent the harms of generative AI. The tech execs are counting on you not realizing your own power. |
Scientist, coach, and catalyst for change. My bi-weekly newsletter helps lifelong learners and leaders better understand and navigate the complex problems humanity faces.
The garden party is in full swing at my house right now, which means I’m either taking care of plants, teaching myself food preservation, or coming up with new and exotic ways to eat tomatoes and cucumbers. In retrospect, I think it’s fair to say that ten tomato and eight cucumber plants is more than a family of three really needs. But the abundance of the garden is also a great reminder of all the things in life we can be thankful for, that engender a sense of awe, especially those things we...
“There is simply no historical precedent for a global climate event of this magnitude.” — Mathematics and computer scientist, Professor Eliot Jacobson, talking about this year’s El Niño In my last newsletter, we talked about what climate resilience means. This week we’re going to explore what it means to put that into practice. Addressing climate change is usually defined as either mitigation (what we can do to reduce emissions) or adaptation (what we can do to protect ourselves and others in...
In response to my last newsletter, a reader asked me to define the term climate resilience and how I used that perspective to find a new home. This kind of curiosity makes my heart soar. As if I needed further proof that my readers are the smartest of the interwebs. But rather than focusing on finding a new place to live (a future newsletter topic for sure), I want to explore what climate resilience looks like right now. The topic is particularly timely in light of the likely historic El Niño...